9/21 – 9/25 [This Week's Trading Strategy] Three conditions to determine if the US stock market rally will continue
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Now, here is this week’s trading strategy.
The US stock market is not as simple a bull market as it appears.
Last week, the S&P 500 (SPY) ended down 0.1% for the week, while the Nasdaq Composite (QQQ) rose 0.7%.
On the other hand, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) fell 1.7% and the Russell 2000 (IWM) fell 1.5%. While large-cap tech stocks supported the indices, selling remained in small-cap and cyclical stocks. Associated Press
The Federal Reserve (the US central bank) raised its policy interest rate by 0.25 points to 3.75-4.00% on September 16. The US 10-year Treasury yield reached the 5% level over the weekend, and Brent crude oil is also around $103 per barrel.
The stock market is holding up, but the burden of financing costs and energy prices continues.
This week, I would like to look at three factors to gauge the direction of the market.