Gold, silver ETFs tumble up to 20% as precious metals crash further: What should investors do?
Silver futures with March expiry have plunged more than Rs 1.7 lakh per kilogram after hitting a fresh lifetime high on Thursday. Gold futures meanwhile fell Rs 50,000 per 10 grams during the same time.
Gold and silver ETFs
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Gold and silver exchange traded funds (ETFs) extended their sharp decline on February 2 as precious metals continued to drop. Analysts have
This comes even as markets remained in red amid a sharp rise in volatility, with India VIX jumping to 15.55.
Gold and silver prices crash further:
Gold futures with April expiry on the Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) fell nearly 3 percent to Rs 1,43,335 per 10 grams in the early trading hours of Monday. This implies a 26 percent drop (around Rs 50,000) after hitting a fresh lifetime high of Rs 1,93,096 per 10 grams on Thursday.
Gold futures with June and February expiries meanwhile fell more than 4 percent and around 3 percent, respectively.
Silver futures with March expiry meanwhile fell 6 percent to Rs 2,49,713 per kilogram. This marks a sharp drop of around 41 percent (Rs 1,70,335) after hitting a fresh lifetime high of Rs 4,20,048 per kilogram on Thursday.
The contracts with May expiry also declined 6 percent to Rs 2,65,502 per kilogram.
Gold and silver ETFs plunge:
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Gold and silver ETFs, which earlier saw a significant surge along with the precious metals, have seen a significant decline recently, with the trend continuing today as well.
Edelweiss Silver ETF crashed 20 percent to hit the lower circuit at Rs 210.61 apiece. Axis Silver ETF also crashed 20 percent, while UTI Silver ETF, DSP Silver ETF, Aditya Birla Sun Life Silver ETF, Kotak Silver ETF and few others tumbled around 20 percent each.
Mirae Asset Silver ETF, Motilal Oswal Silver ETF, 360 ONE Silver ETF, HDFC Silver ETF and few others fell nearly 19 percent, while ICICI Prudential Silver ETF, Nippon India Silver ETF, SBI Silver ETF, Tata Silver ETF plunged around 18 percent each.
Among the gold ETFs, Birla Sun Life Gold ETF and Motilal Oswal Gold ETF crashed more than 9 percent each, while ICICI Prudential Gold ETF, Mirae Asset Gold ETF and others fell around 8 percent each. Edelweiss Gold ETF, HDFC Gold ETF, Baroda BNP Paribas Gold ETF, Nippon India ETF (GoldBees) and few others also significantly dropped.
The sharp fall in gold and silver prices came amid rampant profit-booking, along with stronger dollar. US President Donald Trump said he had chosen former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, who is known to be hawkish and rigid about rate cuts, to head the American central bank.
Additionally, CME Group announced hikes in margins on its metal futures on Saturday and the changes are set to take effect after market close on Monday. This will also likely weigh on precious metals. COMEX gold futures margins have been raised from 6 percent to 8 percent, while COMEX 5000 silver futures are set to increase to 15 percent from 11 percent.
Here’s what analysts say:
The recent “flash crash” in gold and silver, triggered by a hawkish US Fed nominee and increased margin requirements, is viewed by many as a necessary cooling of “overbought” markets rather than a trend reversal, said Abhinav Tiwari, Research Analyst at Bonanza.
He however noted that the long-term outlook remains structurally bullish, despite the volatility. “Record central bank buying, silver’s persistent supply deficit, and geopolitical tensions provide a solid floor,” he said.
“We have maintained a cautious stance on silver following its parabolic move and have suggested trimming overallocation to precious metals to realign portfolios with long-term strategic allocation levels. While it is prudent to wait for further information and trend confirmation, we currently prefer gold from a relative risk-reward perspective,” said Siddharth Srivastava, Head – ETF Product & Fund Manager, Mirae Asset Investment Mangers (India).
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