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Stock market today: Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500 futures slip as Wall Street braces for CPI inflation report

US stock futures fell on Tuesday as investors waited for the latest reading on consumer inflation to provide clues to the Iran war’s impact on the economy and to help set expectations for the path of interest rates.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) nudged down 0.1%, while S&P 500 futures (^GSPC) shed roughly 0.3%, after the broad benchmark clinched a fresh record high. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) led losses, down 0.6% on the heels of a winning day for chip stocks on Wall Street.

Markets are bracing for an important test with Tuesday’s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April. The inflation data will be scrutinzed for signs of pass-through from higher energy prices from the Strait of Hormuz blockade, in food costs in particular. A hot reading could reset expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy, especially in light of Friday’s stronger-than-expected April jobs report. Economists expect headline CPI to have risen 3.7% in April.

Also on Tuesday, President Trump will kick off a trip to China, where he will meet with the country’s President Xi Jinping. Trade and AI are expected to top the leaders’ agenda, and Trump has invited 16 top executives, including Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Apple CEO Tim Cook, to join him during the visit.

In the background, escalating tensions between the US and Iran still keeping investors on edge. Trump said the US-Iran ceasefire agreement between the two countries is on “massive life support” amid a stalemate over a potential peace plan. Oil prices continued to rally, with West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) crude up 2.3% to cross the key $100 a barrel mark, while Brent crude futures (BZ=F) were up 1.8% at over $106 a barrel.

Earnings season also rolls on, with results expected from Applied Materials (AMAT), Cisco Systems (CSCO), Alibaba Group (BABA), and Birkenstock (BIRK).

LIVE 2 updates

  • Oil holds around $100 a barrel after Trump rejects peace proposal

    Bloomberg reports:

    Oil steadied as US President Donald Trump cast doubt over the ceasefire with Iran after rejecting Tehran’s latest peace offer, prolonging the effective closure of the vital Strait of Hormuz.

    Brent (BZ=F) crude traded above $104 a barrel after advancing 2.9% in the previous session, while West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) was near $98. Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that the truce was on “massive life support” while deriding the Iranian response to his proposal to end the 10-week war.

    A ceasefire has been in place since early April and has held even after a series of flareups in violence recently, including attacks on ships. The near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz has significantly disrupted flows of crude, natural gas and fuels to global customers, raising concerns about an inflation crisis.

    Read more here.

  • GameStop shares spike then fall in after-hours rollercoaster after Roaring Kitty posts on X

    Bloomberg reports:

    GameStop Corp (GME). shares spiked and then quickly dropped in postmarket trading Monday after cryptic social media posts showed up and then disappeared from the social media account of Keith Gill, the financial influencer known as “Roaring Kitty,” who became prominent during the 2021 meme-stock craze.

    GameStop’s stock jumped as much as 13% before paring those gains to trade lower after the posts — including one depicting a cat, and another with a picture of the online character Pepe the Frog wearing Roaring Kitty’s trademark red bandanna — were deleted around 5:40 p.m. in New York, less than an hour after they went up.

    Shares of Chewy Inc., which was founded by GameStop’s current chief executive officer, Ryan Cohen, also rose as much as 3% before erasing the move.

    Read more here.

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