How Warren Buffett Prepares for Market Crashes and What You Should Do Now
The stock market had already endured steep losses before President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements accelerated the selloff. With many pundits and analysts now predicting a full-on crash, jittery shareholders are wondering how they should prepare — and the world’s most famous value investor might have some answers.
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Warren Buffett’s knack for weathering market downturns is the stuff of legend. Here’s how you can follow his lead and shore up your defenses if an already bad stock market situation gets even worse.
For Buffett, the best preparation is to adopt an opportunistic mindset by accepting historical evidence that crashes are both inevitable and transient.
On Oct. 16, 2008 — at the peak of the Great Recession — Buffett wrote an op-ed in the New York Times stating, “The market hit bottom in April 1942, well before Allied fortunes turned. Again, in the early 1980s, the time to buy stocks was when inflation raged and the economy was in the tank.”
Investors who understand that crashes are certain to come but also sure to pass can view them as opportunities to increase their long-term holdings at a deep discount.
“In short, bad news is an investor’s best friend. It lets you buy a slice of America’s future at a marked-down price,” Buffett said.
When investors start to see crashes as once-in-a-generation opportunities, they should build cash reserves so they can stock up on discounted shares when a downturn strikes.
In November 2024, when the market was roaring, the AP reported that Buffett was going against the grain and selling vast portions of his portfolio to build a massive $325 billion cash reserve. Investor sentiment was sky-high as stocks continued to break new records, but Buffett just saw an ocean of overpriced stocks that wouldn’t stay that way for long.
He has a long history of stockpiling cash when the market is up so he has money to spend when prices drop.
Fortune reports that instead of bandwagon buying inflated tech stocks during the dot-com bubble’s peak, Buffett instead “built a massive cash pile” just before the crash in the early 2000s.
Buffett’s central investing thesis is to buy and hold shares of high-quality companies with strong financials and unique competitive advantages that can sustain them through rough patches over the long term.
Among his most famous quotes is, “Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
Do that, and you’ll avoid the cardinal sin of locking in losses through panic selling because you’ll be confident that your portfolio can endure crashes, recover and enjoy renewed gains.
In the Times op-ed, he wrote that crashes can devour weak and overleveraged companies, “But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense. These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records five, 10 and 20 years from now.”
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