Invest 93L, Invest 94L: 2 tropical systems likely to form between Florida and Bermuda, Gabrielle now Cat 3
Tropics Update: September 23, 2025
FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist Noah Bergren is tracking three systems in the Atlantic, and possibly a tropical threat in the Bahamas next week. Hurricane season runs through November.
ORLANDO, Fla. – Hurricane Gabrielle continued to barrel across the Atlantic on Tuesday evening but had weakened into a Category 3 storm. It will not pose any threat to land, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said.
The NHC is also monitoring two other areas for potential tropical development in the Atlantic that have now been designated as Invest 93L and Invest 94L.
<!–>
Invest 93L and Invest 94L in the Atlantic
–> <!–>
What we know:
–>
Forecasters say there is now a high chance that two tropical systems will develop in the Atlantic between Florida and Bermuda in the coming days, with one possibly strengthening into a hurricane by the weekend.
<!–>
–>
Models show the western disturbance, designated Invest 94L, could become a hurricane east of the Bahamas, while the eastern wave, designated Invest 93L, may reach tropical storm strength around the same time. Rough surf and minor beach erosion are possible along Florida’s east coast this weekend into early next week.
<!–>
–>
Where is Invest 93L?
<!–>
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located a little less than 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, now known as Invest 93L, is showing signs of organization.
–>
<!–>
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable for development later on Tuesday afternoon or evening, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Thursday or Friday while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the Western Tropical Atlantic.
–>
<!–>
The system currently has a 70% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 90% chance of development over the next week.
–>
Where is Invest 94L?
<!–>
Meanwhile, another tropical wave located near the Leeward Islands, now known as Invest 94L, is producing concentrated, but disorganized, showers and thunderstorms.
–>
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some development over the next few days as the wave moves westward to west-northwestward at 15–20 mph.
<!–>
–>
By the latter part of this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn northwestward, and a tropical depression could form late this week when the system is over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean or near the Bahamas.
<!–>
–>
Regardless of development, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are expected to affect portions of the Leeward Islands later on Tuesday, and Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands late Tuesday and
Wednesday.
<!–>
The system currently has a 30% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 70% chance of development over the next week.
–>
Meteorologists emphasize that the system most likely will remain offshore, limiting Florida’s impacts to surf conditions. However, areas from the Carolinas northward should monitor forecasts closely, as some models suggest the storm could approach the coast next week.
<!–>
There is also a chance the two systems interact in a rare “Fujiwara effect,” in which storms orbit around each other — a phenomenon more common in the Pacific and Indian Oceans than in the Atlantic.
–>
Tracking Hurricane Gabrielle
<!–>
What we know:
–>
As of Tuesday evening, forecasters with the NHC say Hurricane Gabrielle was located about 580 miles east-northeast of Bermuda and about 1,575 miles west of the Azores.
<!–>
The storm is moving toward the northeast near 21 mph. On the forecast track, the center of Gabrielle will continue to move away from Bermuda on Tuesday.
–>
CLICK TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX LOCAL APP
<!–>
Data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Hurricane Hunter aircraft and satellites showed maximum sustained winds near 125 mph with higher gusts, making Gabrielle a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
–>
Hurricane-force winds extend up to 45 miles from the storm’s center, while tropical-storm-force winds reach outward as far as 140 miles, the hurricane center said. The estimated minimum central pressure of Gabrielle is 953 mb.
<!–>
–>
Why you should care:
<!–>
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect for any of these tropical systems. However, forecasters say interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Gabrielle.
–>
While Gabrielle is not a direct threat to Florida or the United States, it is expected to bring hazardous surf and rip currents to Bermuda beaches, as well as along portions of North Carolina and the Eastern Coast.
<!–>
–>
The other two areas should be watched closely for tropical development.
<!–>
“For Florida specifically though, I think it’s very unlikely there are any notable impacts at all other than surf at the beaches. The storm in all likelihood should stay safely offshore. Some outlier models suggest otherwise, but I strongly doubt it and am not worried about them at all for now,” said FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist Noah Bergren. “In the Carolinas, I’d be watching this forecast much more intently. Or if you have to travel next week to Charleston—Myrtle Beach—Cape Hatteras. Specifics are not known yet, and that hypothetical storm could just as easily scrape the coast there as slam into it next week.”
–>
<!–>
The other one could impact the Bahamas early next week, Bregren added.
–>
“I want to stress that it’s also possible the eastern wave becomes the stronger hurricane, and the western system stays weaker. These systems may have a ‘Fujiwara effect’ around each other, which is rare for tropical systems in this part of the world and happens much more in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. That is where the two systems run into each other and “orbit” like planets,” Bergren said.
<!–>
–>
Bergren noted that even offshore, it may provide some enhanced surf and rip currents at our beaches early next week.
<!–>
2025 Atlantic hurricane season
–>
Big picture view:
<!–>
The peak of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season was on Sept. 10, but the most active months are typically August, September and October.
–>
SIGN-UP FOR FOX 35’S BREAKING NEWS, DAILY NEWS NEWSLETTERS
<!–>
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June through Nov. 30.
–>
The next three names on the list are Humberto, Imelda and Jerry.
<!–>
–>
The Source: This story was written based on information shared by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), FOX Weather and the FOX 35 Storm Team on Sept. 23, 2025.