Invest 98L development chances remain low as weakening Rafael churns over Gulf of Mexico
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TAMPA, Fla. – There may only be a few weeks left of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, but the basin remains active as forecasters continue to monitor a weakening Tropical Storm Rafael in the Gulf of Mexico and Invest 98L swirling near the Bahamas.
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Rafael has been lingering the Gulf since it made landfall in Cuba last week, but it doesn’t pose a direct threat to the U.S. and is expected to become a distant memory by the start of the new workweek.
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And to the east of Rafael in the Atlantic Ocean, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking a tropical disturbance that was designated Invest 98L over the weekend. However, its chances of survival are quite dim.
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“The disturbed weather we’ve been watching over and near the northern Caribbean islands is being caused by a weak tropical disturbance and a large upper-level low-pressure system,” FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross said. “Nothing is likely to come of the combo system. The National Hurricane Center gives it a very low chance of organizing into a tropical depression.”
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But the NHC says regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible across the Bahamas through the end of the weekend.
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The Atlantic hurricane season ends Nov. 30.
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