Key levels and divergences: What the S&P 500 chart is telling us

Price patterns in technical analysis are valuable tools for uncovering potential trading opportunities. These patterns can manifest across various time frames, making them useful for short- and long-term traders. For instance, a day trader may leverage multiple time frame analyses within intraday data to pinpoint strategic entry and exit points. Meanwhile, long-term traders might focus on weekly and monthly data to detect possible trend reversals, allowing them to take informed actions to safeguard their portfolios.

A closer look at the attached combined S&P 500 weekly and monthly chart reveals a compelling example of a long-term price pattern that originated in 2017. Traders should pay attention to the critical 6020 zone highlighted on the chart, as a failure to maintain this level could signal a repetition of past patterns. Additionally, price divergence must be given special attention, which occurs when the index reaches new highs while the relative strength index (RSI) registers lower lows. This divergence can be a telltale sign of underlying market weakness. For instance, during the significant correction in 2021, the S&P 500 experienced a drop of over 25% before it eventually rebounded and resumed its upward trajectory, forming the current pattern.

While identifying market reversals isn’t always straightforward, combining price patterns with additional analytical tools—such as volume profiles and supply and demand zones—can enhance a trader’s ability to recognise potential trend changes. This synergistic approach allows traders and investors to prepare effectively for shifts in market direction, positioning themselves to adjust their strategies accordingly.