Solar Stocks Score Major Gains on Trump Policy Clarification

U.S. solar equities surged on Monday after the Treasury Department issued updated guidance on renewable energy tax credits, delivering long-awaited clarity for developers and investors. The decision provided relief to residential solar providers, which had faced months of uncertainty over whether new federal rules would complicate access to subsidies.

Shares of Sunrun gained nearly 9% on Monday, after sealing 5-day gains of nearly 30%, making it the strongest performer in the sector. SolarEdge is sitting on 5-day gains of nearly 22%, still tracking upward momentum on Monday, while First Solar has risen ~18% in five days. Embattered Enphase Energy is up some 3% on Monday, with five-day gains of ~9%. 

The rally marked one of the largest single-day gains for clean energy stocks this year, reversing part of the heavy losses suffered during the first half of 2025.

The Treasury guidance removed the long-standing “5 percent safe harbor” rule that allowed projects to qualify for credits once a small portion of construction had begun. Instead, the new rules impose stricter thresholds for large-scale utility projects. However, the department confirmed that residential and other small distributed systems would remain eligible under existing terms, protecting the business model of companies like Sunrun. Projects that had already started construction under the old rule are also grandfathered in.

Analysts quoted by The Wall Street Journal said the policy clarification helps remove a major overhang from the sector, though they cautioned that other restrictions, such as limitations on the use of Chinese-made solar equipment, remain unresolved and could become a risk depending on enforcement. 

The rally follows months of volatility for solar stocks after earlier cuts to climate-related tax credits triggered sharp underperformance against oil and gas benchmarks. In July, clean energy shares fell to multi-year lows as investors questioned the durability of policy support, underscoring how sensitive the sector remains to changes in federal incentives. Monday’s gains suggest markets are now recalibrating those risks in light of clearer Treasury guidance.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com

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