S&P 500 ends down as hot US inflation data hints at fewer rate cuts
NEW YORK – The S&P 500 ended down on Feb 12 after a hotter-than-expected US inflation reading added to worries that the Federal Reserve would not cut interest rates anytime soon, while CVS Health and Gilead Sciences rallied after upbeat quarterly reports.
Nvidia and Amazon dipped, with the two AI computing heavyweights weighing on the S&P 500.
US consumer prices increased in January by the most in nearly a year and a half, reinforcing the Fed’s message that it was in no rush to resume cutting rates.
The surge in prices offered a cautionary note to President Donald Trump’s push for tariffs on imported goods, which economists have panned as inflationary.
Interest rate futures now suggest traders see about a 70 per cent chance the Fed will reduce rates by another 25 basis points by the end of 2025, down from about an 80 per cent chance on Feb 11, according to CME Fedwatch.
“The market is digesting that the Fed may not cut at all. That’s why the stock market is down, said Jake Dollarhide, CEO of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 lost 16.58 points, or 0.28 per cent, to end at 6,051.92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 6.10 points, or 0.03 per cent, to 19,649.95. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 224.97 points, or 0.50 per cent, to 44,368.68.
CVS Health surged after the healthcare conglomerate beat fourth-quarter profit estimates, hinting at improved performance under new CEO David Joyner.
Gilead Sciences jumped after the biotech company forecast 2025 earnings above analyst estimates.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell also began his second day of testimony before Congress on Feb 12. On Feb 11, he reiterated to the Senate Banking Committee that the US central bank was in no rush to cut rates again.
January’s reading is the last inflation reading before any direct impact from Trump’s tariff measures, which went into effect this month.
Trump’s trade advisers are finalizing plans for the reciprocal tariffs on every country that charges duties on US imports.
The Cboe Volatility Index, known as Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” jumped to its highest in a week.
Treasury yields shot up after the inflation data, with the one on the 10-year note hitting its highest in over two weeks.
Lyft dropped after the ride-hailing company forecast current-quarter gross bookings below estimates. REUTERS
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