S&P 500: Fed’s Inflation Stance Keeps Market on Edge Before Powell’s Remarks

The Fed is widely expected to keep rates steady in the 4.25%-4.5% range, maintaining its cautious approach amid inflation risks and economic uncertainty. However, traders are closely watching the central bank’s updated projections on interest rates, GDP, and inflation, as expectations for rate cuts this year remain uncertain.

What Signals Will the Fed Provide?

While no immediate rate cut is expected, the Fed’s updated “dot plot” will provide insight into policymakers’ expectations for the rest of the year. The central bank’s December forecast suggested two cuts in 2025, but analysts now see a growing risk of just one—or even none—this year, depending on inflation trends and trade developments.

If Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals concern over inflation, the central bank could delay easing monetary policy further. Markets are also wary of President Trump’s trade policies, which could push inflation higher if new tariffs are imposed. A hawkish tone from the Fed could drive Treasury yields higher and weigh on equity markets.

Market Volatility Ahead?

Stocks have struggled in recent sessions, with the S&P 500 dropping over 1% on Tuesday and the Nasdaq losing 1.7% as tech stocks extended losses. The broad market remains under pressure, with the S&P 500 down 8.6% from its February record close.