Why S&P 500 forecasts for 2025 may miss the mark
The typical Wall Street strategist has taken the safe option and picked 2025 to be an ‘average’ year, writes Mark Lister. Photo / 123rf
KEY FACTS
- Most Wall Street forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025 predict a 9-12% gain.
- Historically, annual returns rarely match the long-term average of 9.8%, showing significant variability.
- The likelihood of an “average” year is slim; investors should focus on long-term gains.
Over the past month or two the Wall Street gurus have firmed up their forecasts for where the S&P 500 will finish 2025.
The majority have a year-end estimate of between 6400 or 6600, which implies a gain of 9-12% this year.
That’s close