Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Compared To Mark Carney Amid Trade War
President Donald Trump‘s approval rating is 17 points behind Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as the U.S.-Canada trade conflict deepens, according to data from the Angus Reid Institute.
This gap matters because tariffs have become an economic test for both leaders, although Canada’s smaller, export-dependent economy faces particularly direct pressure from restricted access to the American market.
The latest trade escalation began when Trump imposed 50 percent tariffs on C$27.6 billion of Canadian goods from August 22, including products such as wine, hockey sticks and cement, arguing that Canada discriminates against American cars, alcohol and dairy.
Canada responded with plans for matching tariffs of 15, 25, or 50 percent on the same value of U.S. imports from September 8, covering sectors including steel, dairy, appliances, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, and electronics.
Canada Vulnerable To Sanctions
Canada is especially vulnerable because trade represents about two-thirds of its economy and exports support nearly one in five Canadian jobs, leaving businesses and workers exposed if tariffs reduce cross-border orders or raise costs.
Statistics Canada said the trade slowdown had “acutely affected” manufacturers reliant on American customers, while the Bank of Canada has described tariffs as a drag on jobs, productivity and living standards.
Newsweek reached out to the White House and Carney’s office for comment via email and website contact form on Wednesday morning.
Key Points
- Angus Reid Institute’s Trump Approval Poll found 34 percent of American adults approved of Trump and 58 percent disapproved.
- Its Carney Marker put Carney at 51 percent approval and 42 percent disapproval among Canadian adults.
- More recent Canadian polling is stronger for Carney: Léger recorded 55 percent approval, while Liaison Strategies put him at 60 percent.
- Although conducted before the newest tariffs took effect, the surveys establish a useful baseline against which any subsequent movement in either leader’s approval can be measured.
The Same-Pollster Comparison
Angus Reid polling offers the most straightforward comparison between Trump and Carney because it measures each leader’s performance using nationally representative adult samples from its panels in both countries.
Its latest Carney tracker reading, dated July 26, showed 51 percent approving, 42 percent disapproving, and 7 percent unsure.
That produced a net approval rating (those who approve minus those who disapprove) of plus 9.
The Carney tracker is based on Angus Reid Institute online surveys of Canadian adults drawn from its national polling panel; because these are non-probability samples, a conventional margin of error does not apply.
For Trump, 34 percent approved and 58 percent disapproved, leaving him at a net negative 24. His approval had edged down from 37 percent in December 2025 and January 2026.
For the Trump poll, Angus Reid surveyed 1,525 American adults online from August 6 to 11.
Because it was a non-probability panel, a conventional margin of error does not strictly apply, but the institute said an equivalent probability sample would carry a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The comparison remains illustrative rather than a head-to-head poll. Respondents live in different countries, and the surveys were not conducted simultaneously.
Carney’s Direction Is Not Clear-Cut
Angus Reid’s July figure suggested softer support for Carney, but subsequent Canadian polls point in different directions.
Léger found 55 percent approved of his performance, down 2 points from June, a movement the pollster said was not statistically significant.
Its online survey covered 1,514 Canadian adults from August 1 to 3. Léger said an equivalent probability sample would have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.
An August 2 to 15 survey of 1,526 Canadians from Liaison Strategies found Carney at 60 percent approval and 31 percent disapproval, up 3 points and his highest Liaison reading since early May.
The telephone survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Taken together, the polls show Carney remaining above 50 percent, but they do not establish a uniform trajectory. Differences in field dates, survey methods and samples can produce different results.
White House Response
White House spokesman Davis Ingle has repeatedly highlighted what the administration describes as progress on employment, inflation and housing affordability.
“No other President in history has accomplished more for the American people than President Trump, who is working tirelessly to create jobs, cool inflation, increase housing affordability, and more,” Ingle said in comments the administration has used in response to multiple polling inquiries.
“The President has already made historic progress not only in America but around the world, and this is just the beginning as his agenda continues taking effect.”
What Happens Next
The next polling conducted fully after August 22 will provide the first meaningful indication of how voters are responding to the latest escalation.
Until then, the available evidence shows Carney entering the dispute with a substantially stronger approval position than Trump, but not whether that advantage will survive the economic consequences.