[Global Shock] Is Now the Time to Buy NVIDIA? Founder CEO Resigns Suddenly, Stock Plummets, and the Fateful Earnings Report
JJ, Researcher of the Sakata Five Methods | November 14, 2026
Shocking news has hit NVIDIA, the company that has been driving the global AI market.
Founder Jensen Huang has resigned as CEO.
Following the subsequent stock price plunge, NVIDIA fell from its October high of $243.37 to $159.84 during trading on November 13. The decline has reached approximately 34%.
However, this raises a question.
Does one of the world’s strongest AI semiconductor companies really need to be sold off this much?
Is now the perfect buying opportunity? Or is it the beginning of a crash?
In this article, I will thoroughly examine NVIDIA’s buying opportunity using the latest news, earnings, trading volume, the Sakata Five Methods, moving averages, and daily, weekly, and monthly charts.
※ Stock price benchmarks are based on images taken during trading around 12:23 AM JST on November 14, 2026. Confirmed daily data uses figures up to November 12, US time.
Chapter 1: The Management Crisis at NVIDIA That Shook the World
On November 12, NVIDIA officially announced the resignation of Jensen Huang as President, CEO, and Director.
Colette Kress, who has served as CFO since 2013, will take over as interim CEO.
What the market is wary of with this news is not simply a change in leadership.
The central figure who built NVIDIA’s competitiveness has suddenly departed, making the future outlook unclear regarding how management decisions, development structures, and customer relationships will change.
Furthermore, the company’s board of directors has launched an independent investigation following reports regarding foreign intelligence activities. While it is necessary to distinguish between allegations in reports and confirmed facts, there is no doubt that management uncertainty has increased.
What the stock market hates is uncertainty.
Even if performance is growing, if future risks become difficult to calculate, investors will demand a larger margin of safety in the stock price.
This decline reflects exactly that movement.
Chapter 2: Is NVIDIA’s Performance Really Deteriorating?
Let’s check the results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2027, announced on August 26, 2026.
Item | Results/Outlook
Quarterly Revenue | $96.2 billion
Year-over-Year Revenue Growth | +106%
Data Center Revenue | $89.0 billion
Year-over-Year Growth | +117%
GAAP Gross Margin | 75.0%
Next Quarter Revenue Guidance | $108.0 billion ±2%
Looking at these figures, it cannot be said that NVIDIA’s business itself is stalling.
Rather, the business for AI data centers is maintaining an extremely high growth rate.
Furthermore, full-scale production of the next-generation ‘Vera Rubin’ platform is progressing, meeting the demand for AI computing power.
In other words, this issue must be considered in two parts.
1. Can the company known as NVIDIA continue to grow?
(2) Will NVIDIA’s stock price rise again?
These two are not the same.
Even if earnings grow, the stock price can fall. If the valuation the market pays for future earnings—that is, the P/E ratio—declines, the stock price decline can outweigh the company’s profit growth.
Chapter 3: P/E Ratio of About 12x! Is NVIDIA at a Historically Undervalued Level?
According to Reuters on November 12, NVIDIA’s forward P/E ratio has fallen to about 12x, the lowest level since 2012.
Looking at this number alone, it feels extremely attractive.
However, be careful.
A low forward P/E ratio does not guarantee a bottom for the stock price.
If the market revises future earnings forecasts downward, the actual P/E ratio will rise. Furthermore, if concerns about management instability or a slowdown in AI investment persist, a low P/E ratio could be maintained for a long time.
On the other hand, if demand remains strong and earnings forecasts are maintained, there is room for the stock price to rebound significantly as investor sentiment recovers.
I do not consider this stock to be a simple undervalued stock.
I believe we are in a phase where the valuation of high-growth companies is being rapidly downgraded.
That is precisely why I want to check both the earnings report and the charts.
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Chapter 4: Deciphering NVIDIA’s Daily Chart with the Sakata Five Methods
This is the core of this analysis.
Checking the stock price on November 12th,
Item | Price
Open | $151.01
High | $167.14
Low | $148.80
Close | $166.19
Volume | Approx. 747.71 million shares
What I want to focus on is the price movement and trading volume.
Compared to the previous day’s closing price of $173.73, it opened with a significant gap down.
However, buying came in from there, and it finished trading about 10% higher than the opening price.
Looking only at the candlestick, it is a bullish candle with a long body, confirming a strong buyback after the sharp drop.
I am watching this candle as the initial movement of a rebound that could lead to a bottoming out.
However, this is not a typical ‘hammer’ pattern. This is because the body of the bullish candle is more prominent than the lower shadow.
Also, since it has not been able to recover the previous day’s closing price of $173.73, a reversal of the downtrend is not yet confirmed.
During trading on November 13, it was sold off again to the $159 range.
In other words, whether the buying will continue triggered by the bullish candle on November 12, or whether it will end as a temporary buyback, no conclusion has been reached yet.
The reason for focusing on trading volume
The trading volume on November 12 was approximately 748 million shares. This was an exceptional level, about 4.5 times the 20-day moving average.
Such high volume means that both sellers and buyers were trading aggressively.
It is possible that buying interest stepped in to absorb the sell-off.
However, just because a large volume of trades was executed does not necessarily mean it is the absolute bottom.
It will be important to see if the price can rise without hitting new lows from the next trading day onward.
Chapter 5: Warnings Indicated by Moving Averages and RSI
Based on the confirmed data for November 12, the technical indicators are as follows.
Technical Indicator | Level
20-day Moving Average | Approx. $201.25
50-day Moving Average | Approx. $215.96
200-day Moving Average | Approx. $204.34
RSI (14-day) | Approx. 26
MACD | Negative territory
The stock price is below all major moving averages.
This indicates that short-to-medium-term selling pressure is extremely strong.
Meanwhile, the RSI is below 30, which is generally considered the threshold for oversold conditions.
While there is room for a short-term rebound, a low RSI alone is insufficient grounds for buying.
If the downward trend is strong, oversold conditions can persist for a long time.
Weekly chart analysis
On the weekly chart, recent highs and lows are trending downward, and the decline is accelerating.
For investors planning to hold for the medium term, this pattern is not yet cause for optimism.
Even if there is a rebound, one should anticipate selling pressure at price levels where the stock was previously bought.
Monthly Chart Analysis
On the monthly chart, the strong upward trend has rapidly collapsed, marking a critical juncture for the long-term trend.
However, the November monthly candle has not yet closed.
If it recovers significantly toward the end of the month, it will form a long lower wick, increasing the possibility of a rebound.
Conversely, if it ends the month near the lows, concerns about a prolonged medium-to-long-term correction will intensify.
I want to avoid going all-in based solely on small rebounds on the weekly or daily charts without confirming the bottom on the monthly chart.
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Chapter 6: NVIDIA Buying Opportunities, Stop-Losses, and Take-Profit Targets
The important price levels on this chart are as follows.
Stock Price | Significance
$148.80 | November 12th Low – Most Important Defense Line
Around $160 | Recent battle line
$167.14 | High on November 12
$177.54 | High on November 11
$185–$200 | Resistance zone expected from past trading prices
Around $204 | 200-day moving average as of November 12
If it were me, I would divide the buying strategy into two.
A: Aggressive approach targeting the absolute bottom
Target buy price: $150–$155
Condition: Must not clearly break below $148.80 and must show a bullish candle on the rebound.
– Stop-loss target: $147
– First profit-taking: $166–$170
– Second profit-taking: $177–$180
This is a very high-risk contrarian trade. I would limit this to a small-amount trial.
B: Confirmation-based approach waiting for an upward reversal
Target buy price: $178–$181
Conditioned on the stock closing above the November 11 high of $177.54 and maintaining that level thereafter.
– Stop-loss benchmark: $166
– First profit-taking target: $195–$200
– Second profit-taking target: $205–$210
This is not a method for buying at the absolute bottom.
It is a strategy that prioritizes confirming an upward reversal, ensuring the continuity of the rebound even if it means buying at a slightly higher price than the bottom.
However, all prices are benchmarks based on predictive scenarios and do not guarantee order execution or the extent of losses. Especially after earnings, there is a risk of price gaps causing the stock to jump past the stop-loss price.
Chapter 7: The November 17 Earnings Report Will Determine Its Fate
NVIDIA is scheduled to announce its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2027 on November 17, U.S. time.
It will be early morning on November 18th, Japan Standard Time.
What investors need to check is not just past profits.
They need to look at how much revenue is expected for the next quarter, whether customers’ AI capital expenditures are continuing, whether there is any impact on the development plans for next-generation products, and whether the interim CEO can regain market confidence.
There are three possible scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
Revenue exceeds expectations, and the outlook for future performance is strong. Anxiety over the management transition recedes, and the stock price recovers to the $177 range. The next focus will be $185 to $200.
Neutral Scenario
Even if performance is solid, anxiety regarding future outlooks and the management structure remains. The stock price will fluctuate violently between $149 and $177 while searching for a direction.
Bearish Scenario
Due to downward revisions in earnings forecasts or the expansion of management anxiety, the stock closes below $148.80. In this case, be wary of room for a decline to psychological milestones such as $140 or $130. These are not confirmed support lines, but rather monitoring levels during a decline.
In any scenario, it is important to check the volume and closing price after the earnings report.
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Final Conclusion: Is NVIDIA a Buy Right Now?
My conclusion is clear.
NVIDIA is sufficiently attractive as an investment, but it is too early to decide on a bullish lump-sum purchase at this moment.
Performance remains strong, and the forward P/E ratio is at a low level compared to the past.
On the other hand, new uncertainty has emerged in the management structure, and the stock price is showing a downward trend on both daily and weekly charts.
For those who want to aim for the absolute bottom, I want to see if it can hold $148.80.
For those who want to ride the uptrend, I want to confirm if it can recover $177.54.
I am particularly paying attention to the candlestick after the earnings report on November 17th.
The important thing is not to buy at the absolute lowest price. It is to confirm that the trend has turned upward and buy while minimizing risk.
There is a possibility that this sharp decline could become a historic buying opportunity.
However, the possibility that we are in the middle of a full-scale bear market still remains.
As a researcher of the Sakata Five Methods, I want to wait once more for the signals emitted by the candlesticks and trading volume.
In the market, surviving is more important than trying to guess the bottom.
JJ, Sakata Five Methods Researcher
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Reference Materials and Sources
– “NVIDIA Official: Q2 Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results (August 26, 2026)” (https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2026/NVIDIA-Announces-Financial-Results-for-Second-Quarter-Fiscal-2027/)
– “NVIDIA Official: CEO Transition Announcement (November 12, 2026)” (https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2026/NVIDIA-Announces-CEO-Transition/default.aspx)
– “NVIDIA Official: Next Earnings Date” (https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2026/NVIDIA-Sets-Conference-Call-for-Third-Quarter-Financial-Results/default.aspx)
– “Yahoo! Finance: NVDA Stock Price History” (https://finance.yahoo.co.jp/quote/NVDA/history)
– “Reuters: NVIDIA’s P/E Ratio Decline and Management Concerns (November 12, 2026)” (https://www.reuters.com/business/nvidia-pe-falls-14-year-low-ceo-exit-ai-worries-cloud-bargain-2026-11-12/)
– “NVIDIA Daily Chart, RSI, and Moving Average Data” (https://mercatusdata.com/stocks/nvda/)
*This article is intended for informational and market analysis purposes only and does not guarantee future stock prices or profits.
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