Nvidia Stock Just Crashed 22%. Jim Cramer Says It’s the Cheapest in a Decade

Jim Cramer told viewers of CNBC’s Squawk on the Street on November 5, 2026, that NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) is on sale. “This is the cheapest multiple on Nvidia in about a decade. We’re at 16.5 now,” Jim Cramer said. He followed with “I do think that, like I said, we’re all writing off Nvidia, but it is the cheapest that it’s been. We’ve got to focus on that.”

He said this as the stock fell. NVIDIA fell 6.94% in today’s session to $186.24. That leaves it down 22.04% over the past month and up only 0.09% for 2026.

Testing Cramer’s 16.5 Multiple Against Wall Street Estimates

Analysts expect average EPS of $9.3124 for the fiscal year ending January 2027. At today’s price, that works out to about 20x. For fiscal 2028, the average estimate is $15.9146, which places the stock near 12x. A next-12-months multiple falls between those two figures, so Cramer’s number holds up. On trailing diluted EPS of $8.09, the multiple is about 23x.

History backs up the decade claim. In late September, NVIDIA traded at about 17 times next-12-month earnings. That was its lowest forward multiple since January 2015 and far below a 15-year average of 30x. The share price then was $228.86. Since then, the price has dropped, while the fiscal 2028 EPS estimate has increased from $15.6826. The forward multiple has only become smaller.

Earnings Keep Outrunning the Stock

In its fiscal second-quarter report, NVIDIA posted revenue of $96.22 billion, up 105.85%. Consensus was $92.07 billion. Non-GAAP EPS came in at $2.22 against estimates of $2.09. Data Center revenue rose 117% to $89.02 billion. For the current quarter, the company guided to $108.0 billion ±2%.

Management’s early outlook calls for about 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028, and it says supply is the limit. CEO Jensen Huang said, “The unconstrained number would be a lot higher.” Cramer made a related point on August 28: NVIDIA “always looks expensive” on forward estimates, and then “it so far trumps those estimates” that the old multiple looks low in hindsight.

On X, Cramer wrote: “If the cheapest asset is your stock, you should buy it. Nvidia can buy and reload… or they can let it go down.” NVIDIA had $99 billion left on its repurchase authorization at the end of the second quarter. During that quarter, it returned $26 billion, with $20 billion of that in buybacks. Year to date, it has returned 60% of free cash flow, above its 50% or more target. Cramer has pushed this idea for weeks. On September 1, he called the stock “radically cheap.”

Why Investors Are Selling Anyway

Several concerns explain the low multiple:

• Margins: Gross margin was 75% last quarter. Management expects it to bottom at 71% to 72% in the fourth quarter as memory costs rise.
• Financing: NVIDIA has put nearly $50 billion into frontier AI labs. Huang replied to critics who call this circular financing: “We see it differently.”
• Balance sheet: Supply commitments have risen to $279 billion. Days sales outstanding, the average time it takes to collect payment, extended to 60 days from 45.
• China: The outlook assumes no China data center compute revenue.

Is Cramer Right?

On valuation, the numbers back him. The stock trades at about 20x this year’s earnings and 12x next year’s, against a long-run average of 30x. That is a decade low by any reasonable reading.

A low multiple also shows investors doubt that growth will last. Fiscal 2028 EPS estimates range from $12.8484 to $18.746, a wide spread. NVIDIA’s next earnings report is the test. Results near the $108.0 billion guide, with a margin floor that holds, would back up Cramer’s call. NVIDIA will post updated filings on its investor relations site.

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