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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise in lead up to earnings season, oil prices fall

US stock futures rose on Monday morning as investors geared up for big bank earnings on Tuesday and watched energy markets for geopolitical developments.

Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) and S&P 500 (ES=F) rose 0.2%, while contracts for the Nasdaq-100 (NQ=F) increased 0.3% following a winning week on Wall Street that saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq post record highs.

The bull market turned four on Monday, with many strategists expecting more room for stocks to run. However, concerns over an AI bubble, elevated Treasury yields, and geopolitical uncertainty present hurdles.

Investors expect corporate America to deliver another quarter of robust earnings growth, and that optimism will face its first test on Tuesday when several major banks, including JPMorgan (JPM), Goldman Sachs (GS), and Citi (C), report results.

Oil prices dipped, with Brent crude futures (BZ=F) dropping to $103 per barrel and WTI crude (CL=F) falling to $91 per barrel, after President Trump said Russia and Ukraine agreed to refrain from targeting each other’s energy infrastructure.

At the same time, Trump suggested the US may join Saudi Arabia in attacks on the Houthis following Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia’s main airport, which killed 12 over the weekend. Such a move would risk escalating the Middle East war.

While no economic data is slated for release on Monday, key inflation and retail sales data will be released on Wednesday and Thursday.

LIVE 1 update

  • Oil falls on hopes Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire will boost supplies

    Reuters reports:

    Oil prices slipped on Monday on expectations of more Russian supplies after US President Donald Trump said Ukraine and Russia had agreed to halt attacks on each other’s energy facilities following a ‌US diesel-supply deal with Moscow.

    ICE gasoil futures fell 3% to $1,436 per barrel after President Trump said on Friday that Russia will immediately supply more ​than 300,000 metric tons (2.25 million barrels) of diesel to US and global markets.

    Russia would supply another 500,000 tons in November and a further 1 million tons “immediately thereafter”, Trump added. The daily diesel consumption globally is forecast at close to 29 million barrels, according to the International Energy Agency.

    Trump also unexpectedly announced on Sunday that Ukraine and Russia had agreed to an energy ceasefire, but Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy said he was still ‌waiting to see details of the energy ceasefire ⁠while Russia did not comment.

    The announcements eased some of the immediate supply pressure, Tim Waterer, KCM Trade chief analyst, said.

    Read more.

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