Wall Street inches higher as markets absorb war, tariffs, high energy costs and AI anxiety

By DAMIAN J. TROISE, AP Business Writer

NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks gained ground Friday as oil prices slipped for the first time in a week, but Wall Street is still heading for a losing week.

The S&P 500 rose 0.5%. The index is still on track for its second consecutive losing week, which hasn’t happened since March.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 351 points, or 0.7%, as of 11:50 a.m. Eastern time. The Nasdaq rose 0.1% and was kept in check by sharp losses from several big stocks. Both indexes are also on track for weekly losses.

Micron Technology fell 4.9% and Broadcom fell 2.1%. Both companies have large market values that tend to weigh more heavily on the market. They were big reasons for the technology-heavy Nasdaq lagging other indexes.

Wall Street is closing out a week of increasing pressure from a sharp escalation in the U.S. war with Iran. Heavy fighting in the Middle East again threatened to slow the global flow of oil and gas. Many of the buffers in the energy market from earlier in the year, including strategic reserves in the U.S., have also been weakened.

“If escalation continues and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the impact will land on an energy market with far less resilience than in the spring,” wrote Teddy Bunzel, head of geopolitical advisory at Lazard Asset Management, in a report.

If escalation continues and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the impact will land on an energy market with far less resilience than in the spring. The buffers that cushioned markets earlier this year — an oil-market glut, commercial and strategic reserves, and a fall-off in Chinese demand — have been whittled down after nearly five months of conflict.

Brent crude, the international standard, fell 5.1% to $95.55. It has generally been rising all week and moved back above $100 on Thursday before easing a bit. Before the Iran war began in late February it was trading around $72 per barrel.

Bond yields also eased and relieved some of the pressure on stocks. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.67% from 4.71% late Thursday.

Markets in Europe gained ground, while Asian markets closed lower.

The U.S. is also ramping up its global trade war with a fresh round of tariffs on dozens of nations. The new round of tariffs impacts nearly all U.S. imports and they are paid by companies importing those goods, who then typically pass the added costs along to consumers. That move came just as the clock was running out Friday on stopgap levies the president imposed after a stinging defeat for other tariffs at the Supreme Court.

Rising energy prices and fresh tariffs could result in hotter inflation, which has been squeezing consumers and looming over the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.

The Fed meets later this month and has been closely monitoring prices and their impact. Rising inflation dashed hopes earlier this year for an interest rate cut. Wall Street has since leaned more toward a potential rate increase, which the central bank can use to help cool inflation.

Wall Street is anticipating one rate hike by the end of the year, with a nearly 36% chance that could happen at the upcoming meeting next week, according to CME FedWatch.

Higher energy costs threaten to take a bigger chunk out of household budgets, which means a shift in spending toward more basic needs, like gasoline. Nationally, a gallon of gasoline costs $4.10 per gallon, according to AAA. That’s still lower than this spring as the conflict in Iran expanded, but it’s almost a dollar higher than last year at this time.

Investors are worried about the impact to companies profits. Those profits and expectations for more growth are what typically justifies a stock’s value. The latest round of corporate earnings showed that companies are still notching growth, but concerns are growing.

American Express fell 5.3% despite reporting a jump in profit during its most recent quarter. Amex maintained its profit forecast for the year and has been spending more heavily to keep wealthy individuals amid more competition.

Worries about the sustainability of broader profits are on top of lingering concerns about AI-focused tech companies. Companies like Alphabet and Nvidia have been spending heavily on AI technology. Investors are increasingly questioning whether those investments will produce profits to justify the large stock values that have been steering the broader market higher throughout the year.

AP Business Writers Elaine Kurtenbach and Matt Ott contributed to this report.