Stock Answer Key | 9/28–10/2 Swing Trading 20 Stocks: Aiming for '+10% in a Week' from Long-term Uptrends × Pullbacks

This week, we are not just ‘making predictions and stopping there.’

In the swing trading version of the Stock Answer Key, we pre-select stocks that have the potential to gain +10% over the one-week period from Monday to Friday, and after the week ends, we check the answer against the actual price movements.

This time, rather than simply chasing stocks that have been rising recently, I selected 20 stocks by focusing on:

・Whether they maintain a long-term uptrend
・Whether they are at a position where we can aim for a re-ascent from a pullback
・Whether there is still capital remaining in the theme
・Whether there is enough price range to aim for +10% within the week

I will not disclose the specific scoring methods or numerical values in this article, but will focus on ‘which stocks to target and from what price range.’

Nikkei Average

The Nikkei Average on September 25 was 66,364.20 yen.

It ended with a gain of +850.21 yen (+1.30%) from the previous day, marking five consecutive days of gains.

While the overall market remains strong, the index itself has been rising continuously, so this week, rather than chasing high prices, I will target points where strong stocks have pulled back once.

Rise

↓
Profit-taking
↓
Pullback
↓
Bottoming out
↓
Buying back
I will focus on this flow.

This Week’s Themes

Bio/Medical

This time, it’s Oncolys.

It is a stock that has risen significantly accompanied by news, but I am not aiming to chase the high.

I will target the point where it adjusts once while maintaining a strong uptrend and begins to attract buying again.

Semiconductors

This is the theme I chose the most for these 20 stocks.

I selected Minato HD, Macnica HD, Shinden Hightex, QD Laser, Furuya Metal, Tomen Devices, Technisco, and Ferrotec.

While many stocks continue to show strong price movements, some have already risen to high price ranges.

I will not ‘buy because it’s a semiconductor stock,’ but rather target the timing when it creates a pullback within an uptrend and capital flows back in.

Communication Infrastructure

I selected Comsys HD.

Behind the expansion of AI and data centers, demand for communication equipment and infrastructure investment continues.

I will look at whether it can continue to rise against the backdrop of medium-term demand, not just short-term news.

Automotive Related

I selected Vitz.

This is a theme related to the digitalization of automobiles, such as autonomous driving, ADAS, SDV, and in-vehicle software.

Since it has a track record of moving significantly recently, I will target the scene where capital returns after an adjustment.

AI

I selected Silicon Studio.

It has the theme of generative AI and 3DCG, and it is a stock with a large price range when capital flows in.

Since it is undergoing an adjustment after a surge, I will focus on whether it can form a shape to head toward a rise again.

Drone/DX

I selected Terra Drone.

It has a growth theme and is a stock with a large price range when capital flows in.

I will prioritize waiting for a pullback rather than chasing the high.

Banks

I selected Mitsubishi UFJ FG, Sumitomo Mitsui FG, and Yamagata Bank.

I will look at the flow of capital to the entire banking sector, including not only megabanks but also regional banks.

I will aim for a rise from a pullback that maintains the trend.

Games/Content

I selected Capcom.

I emphasize long-term growth backed by performance, not just the theme.

I will see if it can head toward the high price direction again from a pullback.

Housing/Strong Performance

I selected R-Planner.

Because it is a stock that has been bought based on performance, I will target the scene where it is bought back again after an adjustment following a rise.

Used Cars/Strong Performance

I selected Apple International.

It has performance-related news, and if capital flows in again from a pullback, it is in a position to aim for a price range within the week.

Materials/Electronic Components

I selected Japan Tungsten.

I emphasize that it maintains a long-term uptrend.

I will aim for a re-ascent after it pulls back to a supported price range.

Stock Details

Bio/Medical

4588 Oncolys

Current stock price: 6,280 yen

Entry: 5,900–6,100 yen
Target: 6,908 yen
Reason for selection:

In addition to maintaining a strong uptrend, it continues to attract attention in terms of news such as the start of Telomelysin sales. Rather than chasing from the current position, I want to target it after confirming it bottoms out at a pullback to around 6,000 yen.
Semiconductors

6862 Minato HD

Current stock price: 5,690 yen

Entry: 5,350–5,500 yen
Target: 6,259 yen
Reason for selection:

The long-term uptrend is very strong, and it also has a theme as a semiconductor/memory-related stock. Rather than chasing the high, I will wait for an adjustment to the low to mid-5,000 yen range and target the shape where it is bought again there.
3132 Macnica HD

Current stock price: 4,287 yen

Entry: 4,100–4,220 yen
Target: 4,716 yen
Reason for selection:

This is a stock I am continuously monitoring, and it has maintained an upward trend recently. In addition to semiconductors, it also has a theme of physical AI, and I will aim for the high price direction again from a pullback to the 4,100 yen range.
3131 Shinden Hightex

Current stock price: 7,950 yen

Entry: 7,450–7,700 yen
Target: 8,745 yen
Reason for selection:

The long-term uptrend is strong, and it is also riding the theme as a semiconductor trading company. Since it is currently in a high price range, I will target it after confirming it adjusts to the mid-7,000 yen range, is supported, and turns upward again.
6613 QD Laser

Current stock price: 2,244 yen

Entry: 2,100–2,180 yen
Target: 2,468 yen
Reason for selection:

It has risen continuously recently, and it is a stock where the strength of volume and capital can be confirmed. It has multiple themes such as quantum and medical in addition to semiconductors, and I will aim for a rebound from a pullback to the 2,100 yen range.
7826 Furuya Metal

Current stock price: 11,700 yen

Entry: 11,150–11,450 yen
Target: 12,870 yen
Reason for selection:

It has risen significantly recently, and strong capital inflow can be seen as a semiconductor material-related stock. I will not chase immediately after a surge, but target the shape where it is bought again after pulling back to the low 11,000 yen range.
2737 Tomen Devices

Current stock price: 43,700 yen

Entry: 41,100–42,400 yen
Target: 48,070 yen
Reason for selection:

The long-term uptrend is very strong, and it is a stock that easily attracts theme capital as a semiconductor trading company. Because it is a high-priced stock, entry is limited to pullbacks. I will see if it bottoms out in the 41,000–42,000 yen range.
2962 Technisco

Current stock price: 2,184 yen

Entry: 2,050–2,120 yen
Target: 2,402 yen
Reason for selection:

It is a stock that has shown a strong rise as a semiconductor/precision component-related stock. If it returns to a position where it can aim for the recent high again, a price range of +10% within the week comes into view. I will target it after confirming that capital actually returns from a pullback.
6890 Ferrotec

Current stock price: 10,640 yen

Entry: 10,050–10,350 yen
Target: 11,704 yen
Reason for selection:

While capital inflow to semiconductor-related stocks continues, it maintains a strong price movement. I will not chase the high price range as is, but target the scene where it rebounds again from a pullback to the low 10,000 yen range.
Communication Infrastructure

1721 Comsys HD

Current stock price: 5,593 yen

Entry: 5,250–5,450 yen
Target: 6,152 yen
Reason for selection:

It is a stock that has continuously maintained an uptrend. It has a medium-term theme of communication infrastructure/data center demand, and I will target the shape of re-ascent from a pullback to the low to mid-5,000 yen range.
Automotive Related

4440 Vitz

Current stock price: 2,585 yen

Entry: 2,430–2,510 yen
Target: 2,844 yen
Reason for selection:

It is a stock with growth themes related to automobiles, such as autonomous driving, ADAS, SDV, and in-vehicle software. Recently, it has risen significantly accompanied by volume. I will not chase the surge, but target the shape where it is bought back after an adjustment to the 2,400 yen range.
AI

3907 Silicon Studio

Current stock price: 2,130 yen

Entry: 2,000–2,070 yen
Target: 2,343 yen
Reason for selection:

It has the theme of generative AI and 3DCG, and it is a stock that tends to have a large price range when capital is concentrated. Since it is adjusting after a surge, I will focus on whether it maintains around 2,000 yen and capital flows in again.
Drone/DX

278A Terra Drone

Current stock price: 19,800 yen

Entry: 18,600–19,200 yen
Target: 21,780 yen
Reason for selection:

It has a growth theme of drone/infrastructure DX, and it is a stock with a large price range when capital flows in. Because the price movement is intense, I will target it after confirming that buying enters again from a pullback to around 19,000 yen.
Banks

8306 Mitsubishi UFJ FG

Current stock price: 3,714 yen

Entry: 3,580–3,680 yen
Target: 4,085 yen
Reason for selection:

While capital inflow to the banking sector continues, it is rising accompanied by volume. I will wait for a pullback to around 3,600 yen and target the shape where it is bought again from there.
8316 Sumitomo Mitsui FG

Current stock price: 6,919 yen

Entry: 6,670–6,800 yen
Target: 7,611 yen
Reason for selection:

Against the backdrop of capital inflow to bank stocks, it continues to rise strongly. I will not chase the high price range, but target the shape of rebounding from an adjustment to the 6,700 yen range.
8344 Yamagata Bank

Current stock price: 5,680 yen

Entry: 5,350–5,500 yen
Target: 6,248 yen
Reason for selection:

Selected by emphasizing that capital is spreading not only to megabanks but also to regional banks. While maintaining a long-term uptrend, I will target the shape of re-ascent from a pullback to the low to mid-5,000 yen range.
Games/Content

9697 Capcom

Current stock price: 4,415 yen

Entry: 4,300–4,400 yen
Target: 4,857 yen
Reason for selection:

I evaluate the long-term rise backed by performance, not just the game/content theme. I will aim for a re-ascent toward the high price direction from a pullback that maintains the 4,300 yen range.
Housing/Strong Performance

2983 R-Planner

Current stock price: 1,644 yen

Entry: 1,660–1,720 yen
Target: 1,808 yen
Reason for selection:

Against the backdrop of a significant increase in sales and profit in the interim period, I evaluate the possibility of being bought from a performance perspective. Since the current price is below the assumed entry, I will not enter because it is cheap, but target it after confirming the movement of recovering to the 1,660 yen range and turning upward again.
Used Cars/Strong Performance

2788 Apple International

Current stock price: 414 yen

Entry: 400–415 yen
Target: 455 yen
Reason for selection:

It is a stock with performance materials such as upward revision and dividend increase. Around 400 yen functions as a pullback, and if capital flows in again from there, it is in a position to aim for +10%.
Materials/Electronic Components

6998 Japan Tungsten

Current stock price: 4,260 yen

Entry: 4,000–4,150 yen
Target: 4,686 yen
Reason for selection:

It is a stock that emphasizes maintaining a long-term uptrend. I will wait for a pullback to the low 4,000 yen range, and if it is supported there and rebounds, I will aim for the high price direction again.
How to Target This Week

These 20 stocks were not selected to ‘buy because they are rising.’

The flow I am targeting is:

Uptrend

↓
Pullback
↓
Bottoming out
↓
Buying back
↓
High price update
Especially for semiconductor-related stocks, while there are many strong stocks, there are also stocks that have already risen significantly.

That is why I emphasize not only ‘what to buy’ but also **’how long to wait before entering.’**

I do not enter just because it reached the entry price.

Does it bottom out after reaching the pullback, and does a movement toward an actual rebound appear?

Only after confirming that does it become an entry candidate.

This Week’s Answer Key

The swing version is judged by the maximum rise rate after the assumed entry is established.

+20% or more = 🎯 Big Hit

+10% or more and less than 20% = ○ Hit

+5% or more and less than 10% = △

0% or more and less than 5% = ▲

Less than 0% = Miss

On the weekend, for all 20 stocks, I will check:

・Whether the assumed entry was established

・How much it rose during the week

・Whether it reached +10%
・Whether this selection was correct
I don’t just predict and stop.
Every week, I leave the results and connect them to the next selection.

※ This article is for the purpose of personal verification and recording, and does not recommend buying or selling specific stocks. Please make investment decisions at your own responsibility.

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