The Daily

Mortgage rates are likely to edge a little lower in July, continuing the gradual decline we saw in June.

So far, inflation hasn’t risen from higher tariffs, and financial markets seem convinced that the Federal Reserve will cut short-term interest rates in the second half of the year. Together, those two factors could decrease mortgage rates or keep them more or less unchanged.

 » Read more about: July Mortgage Outlook: A Rate Drop, or More of the Same?  »

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After a strong two-month rebound, the S&P 500 has entered July hovering near all-time highs. But can this momentum continue, or are we topping into volatility?

Historically, the first two weeks of July are the most bullish stretch of the year. Seasonality wise as well, July is on average a bullish month for the SPX across the last 20 years.

 » Read more about: Christmas in July: Can the S&P 500 hold Its breakout rally?  »

Chaos in markets sparked a lot of bearish prognostications in the first half, but investors have pushed through, and stocks look like they’re back in “meltup mode.”

That’s the view of Ed Yardeni, a longtime forecaster and the president of Yardeni Research. His “melt-up” thesis says the stock market embarked on a 1990s-style bull run starting in 2024,

 » Read more about: Stocks are back in 'meltup' mode after a wild first half — and the S&P 500 could soar 60% by 2030, market vet says  »

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Add in the fact that humans are slow to react to new information (underreaction) and then tend to overdo it once they finally catch on (overreaction), and you’ve got a recipe for persistent price movements.

These aren’t just theories. Research across more than 100 years of commodity data shows these effects in action.

 » Read more about: Trend Following With Commodities: How To Implement A Classic Trading Strategy  »

Indore Commodities Buzz Of June 30: Price Of Gold, Silver And Pulses– All You Need To Know |

 » Read more about: Indore Commodities Buzz Of June 30: Price Of Gold, Silver And Pulses– All You Need To Know  »