Swing Trading Strategy for Office Workers Who Can't Watch the Ticker: Last Week's +147,900 Yen Disciplined Trading and 5 Buy Candidates for This Week

As an office worker busy with my main job on weekdays, I will deliver a swing trading verification log based on the theme of ‘how to minimize risk and steadily rotate capital even in an environment where I cannot watch the charts during the day’.

All 9 positions carried over that I was tracking until last week were closed and fully converted to cash through a thorough exit strategy (closing the day before earnings announcements, 10-business-day maximum rule), resulting in [8 wins, 1 loss, total realized profit: +147,950 yen]. Especially in the case of NEC (profit taken at +13,000 yen), which plummeted the day after a good earnings announcement, it was a week that proved how discipline—’exiting the day before earnings as per the rules’—protects assets.

Also, the 5 new stocks I entered last week (SBS HD, Ringer Hut, System Support, Sun Asterisk, Dentsu Soken), after passing on Dentsu Soken with zero risk, are currently performing well with the 4 stocks I am holding, totaling [total unrealized profit: +31,800 yen].

This time, from the 1,524 stocks I screened over the weekend, I have carefully selected a group of stocks that achieved the highest rating (8 out of 8 points) across all technical indicators. I will disclose the pre-set rules and entry strategies for the ‘5 buy watch list candidates’ that part-time investors should target starting from the beginning of the week.

[Candidate 1] 7752 Ricoh (Score 8 points: Cruising Momentum x No Overheating, Core Type)

■ Basic Data & Pre-set Rules (Assuming 1 unit, 100 shares)

• Stock Price (10/30 closing): 1,812.5 yen

• Target Entry Range: 1,770 yen to 1,800 yen (Investment amount: approx. 177,000 to 180,000 yen)

• Review Line (Stop-loss guide): Below 1,730 yen (2ATR below 1,730.4 yen / approx. -3.0%)

• 1st Target Price (Profit taking): 1,940 yen (Updating year-to-date high ➔ just before the psychological milestone of 2,000 yen / Expected profit: approx. +14,000 to +17,000 yen)

• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.5 or higher

• Time Limit Rule:

  • Limit Order Expiration: Until 11/6 (Fri) (Max 5 business days)

  • Exit Deadline: Until market close on 11/5 (Thu) (*Since earnings are scheduled for 11/6, the pre-earnings business day exit rule applies)

■ Why focus on this stock? (Technical x Supply/Demand & Fundamental Analysis)

1. 8/8 screening score + RSI 59.8 ‘safest cruising speed’. While ADX shows an extremely strong uptrend at ‘42.7’, RSI remains in the comfortable zone below 70 at ‘59.8’. It is this week’s top candidate, with no short-term overheating and the most beautiful continuation of the moving average perfect order and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo’s triple good signal.

2. Initial stage of band-walking accompanied by a surge in volume. Following the breakout of the Bollinger Bands, recent volume has surged. Continuous accumulation by large investors can be confirmed. The baseline (1,749.9 yen) and the cloud upper limit (1,604.7 yen) are located far below, forming multiple layers of support.

3. Structural reform from office equipment to digital services. The business structural shift from hardware dependence, such as multifunction printers, to office DX and IT service areas is steadily bearing fruit. Expectations for capital efficiency improvement to correct PBR below 1x and share buybacks are also strong, and the lack of downside anxiety in terms of fundamentals is also attractive.

■ Chart points to note and entry strategy: Consolidating the 1,800 yen level and limit orders on dips. Avoid chasing highs at the start of the week and wait for consolidation around the 1,800 yen level. Set limit orders in the ‘1,770 yen to 1,800 yen’ range, which is the support zone just before the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo baseline (1,749.9 yen). Since the review line can be set shallowly at 2ATR below (below 1,730 yen), it is a solid design that aims for a price range of +8% or more while keeping risk to around 3%.

[Candidate 2] 9658 Business Brain Showa Ota (Score 8 points: Outstanding Trend x High Capital Efficiency Type)

■ Basic Data & Pre-set Rules (Assuming 1 unit, 100 shares)

• Stock Price (10/30 closing): 1,314.0 yen

• Target entry range: 1,280 yen to 1,305 yen (Investment amount: approx. 128,000 to 130,500 yen)

• Review line (stop-loss guide): Below 1,240 yen (breaking below 2ATR lower 1,240.8 yen / approx. -4.0%)

• First target price (profit taking): 1,440 yen (breaking year-to-date high ➔ just before the 1,450 yen milestone / expected profit: approx. +13,500 to +16,000 yen)

• Risk-reward ratio: 1 : 2.2 or higher

• Time limit rules:

  • Limit order wait deadline: Until Friday, 11/6 (max 5 business days)

  • Exit deadline: Until market close on Thursday, 11/5 (*Since earnings are scheduled for 11/6, the pre-earnings business day exit rule applies)

■ Why focus on this stock? (Technical × Supply/Demand & Fundamental Analysis)

1. One of the strongest trends in the entire scan (ADX 46.6): Among the 8-point screening, the ADX has recorded an outstanding value of 46.6. It is forming a “band walk” along the +2σ of the Bollinger Bands while maintaining strong momentum, which is the waveform with the strongest upward pursuit momentum.

2. Small entry of approx. 130,000 yen per unit and excellent capital efficiency: The invested principal per 100 shares is affordable at about 130,000 yen, making it a size that is easy for side-hustle investors to incorporate into their portfolios alongside other stocks. Despite the small amount, there is solid volatility, so high capital turnover efficiency can be expected in a short period.

3. High-profit structure of corporate accounting DX and core consulting: Develops a business model that fuses CPA-based consulting with system integration (SI). It maintains high profitability against the backdrop of demand for corporate core system renewal and governance strengthening, and there is also a certain level of support in terms of dividend yield.

■ Chart precautions and entry strategy: Sniper-style dip buying near the previous day’s closing price. Since the RSI is approaching the overbought zone at 69.7, market buying at the opening of the week is strictly prohibited. Wait for a dip where profit-taking pushes the price toward the 1,300 yen level during the day, and place a limit order in the “1,280 yen to 1,305 yen” zone to wait for execution. Set the stop-loss guide at 1,240 yen, which is 2ATR below, to limit downside risk before entering.

【Candidate Stock 3】 4933 I-ne (Score 8 points, long-term consolidation breakout × bullish momentum type)

■ Basic data/pre-rules (assuming 1 unit, 100 shares operation)

• Stock price (10/30 closing price): 2,460.0 yen

• Target entry range: 2,390 yen to 2,430 yen (Investment amount: approx. 239,000 to 243,000 yen)

• Review line (stop-loss guide): Below 2,280 yen (breaking below base line 2,284.0 yen / 2ATR lower 2,282.4 yen / approx. -5.0%)

• First target price (profit taking): 2,680 yen (breaking recent high ➔ just before the 2,700 yen milestone / expected profit: approx. +25,000 to +29,000 yen)

• Risk-reward ratio: 1 : 2.0 or higher

• Time limit rules:

  • Limit order wait deadline: Until Friday, 11/6 (max 5 business days)

  • Exit deadline: Until market close on Thursday, 11/12 (*Since earnings are scheduled for 11/13, the pre-earnings business day exit rule applies)

■ Why focus on this stock? (Technical × Supply/Demand & Fundamental Analysis)

1. A “blue sky breakout” far away from the cloud upper limit (1,886 yen): This is the initial move that has completely broken above the long-lasting box range, significantly deviating from the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo cloud upper limit (1,886.0 yen). As indicated by the ADX of 43.7, new buying energy is flowing in strongly along with the breakout.

2. Large-scale capital intervention accompanied by a surge in trading volume. In the recent uptrend, trading volume has increased significantly, confirming buying by institutional investors and large-scale money rather than small-scale individual trades. A perfect order of daily moving averages has also been completed.

3. Brand power in hair care and beauty appliances and overseas growth. A fabless manufacturer with powerful hit brands such as “BOTANIST” and “SALONIA.” In addition to the recovery in inbound demand, overseas expansion, particularly in e-commerce and the Asian region, is performing well, boasting high profit growth momentum.

■ Chart Notes and Entry Strategy: Confirming Support at the 2,400 Yen Level. Since the RSI has reached 68.0 due to the rapid rise, there is no need to chase the upside. I will calmly aim for a cooling-off period from the high range reached over the weekend to test the 2,400 yen round number. I will place limit orders between 2,390 yen and 2,430 yen, and manage the position with a clear exit line at “below 2,280 yen,” where the baseline (2,284 yen) and 2ATR below (2,282.4 yen) overlap.

[Candidate 4] 7085 Curves Holdings (Score 8, Post-Earnings Release, Zero Earnings-Crossing Risk Type)

■ Basic Data and Pre-rules (Assuming 1 unit, 100 shares)

• Stock Price (10/30 Close): 1,063.0 yen

• Target Entry Range: 1,030 yen to 1,050 yen (Investment amount: approx. 103,000 to 105,000 yen)

• Review Line (Stop-loss guide): Below 1,000 yen (2ATR below 1,007.3 yen, psychological round number 1,000 yen break / approx. -3.8%)

• First Target Price (Profit Taking): 1,150 yen (Breakout of year-to-date high range / Expected profit: approx. +10,000 to +12,000 yen)

• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.3 or higher

• Time Limit Rules:

  • Limit Order Expiration: Until 11/6 (Fri) (Max 5 business days)

  • Exit Deadline: Market close, up to 10 business days after the entry execution date (*Zero earnings-crossing risk as the full-year earnings announcement was passed in mid-October)

■ Why focus on this stock? (Technical x Supply/Demand & Fundamental Analysis)

1. Greatest Strength: The absolute peace of mind of having “already passed the earnings announcement.” As an August fiscal year-end company, it successfully passed its full-year earnings announcement (profit increase, dividend increase) in mid-October. The next earnings announcement (1Q) is not scheduled until early January, allowing me to focus on swing trading with zero risk of a “sharp drop immediately after earnings announcement,” which this series is most cautious about.

2. A clean breakout immediately after surpassing the 1,000 yen round number. It has powerfully broken through the psychological level of “1,000 yen,” which had suppressed the upside for a long time. The ADX is at 42.1 and the RSI is at 68.7, maintaining good momentum, and it has entered a stage of chasing the upside along with the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo’s three-role reversal.

3. A solid stock business for senior women’s fitness. It operates the women-only fitness chain “Curves” nationwide. Its strength lies in stable cash flow from monthly membership fees, and the recovery in member numbers and unit price increases since the COVID-19 pandemic are continuing. The fact that it is easy to handle with a small amount of about 106,000 yen per unit is also suitable for those with side jobs.

■ Chart Notes and Entry Strategy: Limit order backed by the old 1,000 yen resistance zone. I will aim for the first dip after breaking through 1,000 yen. With the “1,000 yen round number,” which was once a resistance line and has now changed its role to a strong support line, as a backstop, I will place limit orders at “1,030 yen to 1,050 yen.” By setting the stop-loss at “below 1,000 yen,” which breaks the review guide (1,007.3 yen), a safe design with extremely small loss amounts is possible.

[Candidate 5] 7867 Takara Tomy (Score 8, Strongest Trend Among All Scanned x Round Number Breakout Target Type)

■ Basic Data and Pre-rules (Assuming 1 unit, 100 shares)

• Stock Price (10/30 Close): 4,922.0 yen

• Target Entry Range: 4,780 yen to 4,850 yen (Investment amount: approx. 478,000 to 485,000 yen)

• Review Line (Stop-loss target): Break below 4,600 yen (2ATR below 4,601.8 yen / approx. -4.5%)

• First Target Price (Profit taking): 5,300 yen (Breaking the 5,000 yen major threshold ➔ Blue-sky momentum acceleration / Expected profit: approx. +45,000 yen to +52,000 yen)

• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.0 or higher

• Time Limit Rules:

  • Limit order deadline: Until Friday, 11/6 (Max 5 business days)

  • Exit deadline: Until market close on Wednesday, 11/11 (*Since earnings are scheduled for 11/12, the pre-earnings business day exit rule applies)

■ Why focus on this stock? (Technical × Supply/Demand & Fundamental Analysis)

1. Recorded an ADX of 50.5, the highest among 1,524 scanned stocks. This is the strongest momentum stock, hitting an ADX of 50.5, the maximum trend strength among the stocks extracted this time. It continues to hit year-to-date highs (52-week highs) accompanied by a surge in trading volume, meaning market buying energy is most concentrated here.

2. Expectations for a further rise after breaking the 5,000 yen major threshold. The stock price is positioned just before the psychological milestone of 5,000 yen (4,922 yen). If it breaks above this massive wall, it will enter a ‘blue-sky market’ where it enters uncharted price territory, creating a chart pattern where we can aim for a sharp rise driven by short covering and follow-up buying.

3. Trading card games and adult hobbies are booming. Global expansion of TCGs (Trading Card Games) like ‘Duel Masters’ and products like ‘Tomica’ and ‘Beyblade,’ as well as inbound demand for the Kiddyland business, are extremely strong. As an IP (Intellectual Property) business that goes beyond the framework of toys, earnings continue to expand.

■ Chart Cautions and Entry Strategy: ‘Wait for a Deep Pullback Only’ to Avoid Overheating. While the ADX is strong at over 50, the RSI has reached ‘73.2,’ a short-term overheating zone. Therefore, chasing high prices by jumping in is strictly forbidden. Maintain strong discipline by saying ‘I will pass unless it pulls back to 4,850 yen or lower,’ and set limit orders limited to the deep pullback zone of ‘4,780 yen to 4,850 yen.’ Only if picked up, set a stop at 2ATR below (break below 4,600 yen) and aim for a large profit margin from breaking the 5,000 yen major threshold.

■ Guidelines for This Week’s Capital Allocation and Portfolio Management

• 7752 Ricoh: approx. 180,000 yen

• 9658 Business Brain Showa Ota: approx. 130,000 yen

• 4933 I-ne: approx. 240,000 yen

• 7085 Curves HD: approx. 105,000 yen

• 7867 Takara Tomy: approx. 480,000 yen

• Total invested capital for 5 stocks: approx. 1,135,000 yen

This allocation fits perfectly within the capital framework (invested capital + 148,000 yen in realized profits) recovered by closing out 9 stocks and going fully cash last week.

For all stocks, let’s thoroughly follow the three major disciplines: ‘do not jump in with market orders at the open,’ ‘exit regardless of profit or loss on the day before earnings,’ and ‘release capital within a maximum of 2 weeks,’ and continue to trade steadily and with discipline from the start of the week.